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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $900.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.3MEvent: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:429 trades$860.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$31.8K·11 wallets(1🐋)·$60.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTEAM VISION (YES)$104.6K@ 100¢·vd777bond

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 14:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between TEAM VISION and Team Yandex in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 1 against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vd777bond3 linked markets · $731.6K gross
Djdjdjekekek2 linked markets · $503.1K gross
1111111111153 linked markets · $261.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY TEAM VISION@ 31.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Team Yandex@ 70.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY TEAM VISION@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY TEAM VISION@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $757 → $14.7K · 2s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$83.2K
6h+$33.3K
24h+$33.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h76.7¢▲ above by 23.3pp
VWAP 7d76.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$308.7K
90¢
$17.7K
85¢
$51.3K
80¢
$15.9K
75¢
$9.8K
70¢
$27.6K
65¢
$124.5K
60¢
$134.3K
55¢
$29.6K
50¢
$54.0K
45¢
$38.4K
40¢
$22.0K
35¢
$4.7K
30¢
$13.2K
25¢
$8.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTEAM VISION (YES)$104.6K@ 99.9¢
vd777bond0xaabe…9158
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTEAM VISION (YES)$24.5K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTEAM VISION (YES)$13.0K@ 99.9¢0x4c9c…e006🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTEAM VISION (YES)$16.7K@ 99.9¢
LUCKYME0010x9a40…840e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTEAM VISION (YES)$12.0K@ 99.9¢
LUCKYME0010x9a40…840e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$20.6K@ 99.9¢0xfe9c…4cb4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$10.0K@ 63.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$10.8K@ 36.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$15.4K@ 35.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$72.4K@ 69.1¢
vd777bond0xaabe…9158
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
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67.5¢$1.9Mpriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

vd777bondTEAM VISION$72.4K
BUY VWAP 69.1¢·1 fill
0xe16d…5e30TEAM VISION$36.7K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·12 fills
111111111115Team Yandex$26.2K
BUY VWAP 35.4¢·2 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTEAM VISION$22.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·5 fills
0xfe9c…4cb4TEAM VISION$20.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x19fb…bd68TEAM VISION$17.9K
BUY VWAP 89.4¢·10 fills
CORGI8Team Yandex$16.8K
BUY VWAP 30.1¢·3 fills
0xe760…f2f9TEAM VISION$12.8K
BUY VWAP 63.8¢·2 fills
TIwinnerTEAM VISION$12.6K
BUY VWAP 56.1¢·5 fills
0x9055…756aTEAM VISION$11.9K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.