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UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→Closes: 3 daysLiquidity: $22.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.2KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)
18.5¢
Dan Hooker
81.5¢
Salahdine Parnasse
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution77Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$30.6K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 197 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Salahdine Parnasse · $2.7K net·2 wallets·$2.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSalahdine Parnasse$28.7K@ 83¢·marketmesh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.4K
tracked
$30.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Salahdine Parnasse · $2.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 197 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dan Hooker" if Dan Hooker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Salahdine Parnasse at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Salahdine Parnasse" if Salahdine Parnasse is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Dan Hooker" if Dan Hooker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Salahdine Parnasse at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Salahdine Parnasse" if Salahdine Parnasse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dan Hooker; negative values favor Salahdine Parnasse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDan Hooker · $0
6hSalahdine Parnasse · $1.4K
24hSalahdine Parnasse · $30.5K

Dan Hooker price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dan Hooker price. Salahdine Parnasse fills are converted to the complementary Dan Hooker probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current18.5¢
VWAP 24h17.2¢▲ above by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d17.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dan Hooker price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$36.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSalahdine Parnasse$28.7K@ 82.9¢
marketmesh0xb7ab…a2d1
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

marketmeshSalahdine Parnasse$28.7K
BUY VWAP 82.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.