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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
100.0¢
BNK FEARX
0.1¢
Dplus KIA
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets15Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 42 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:443 trades$807.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA · $25.1K net·42 wallets(2🐋)·$171.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBNK FEARX$50.0K@ 100¢·alexdave888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dplus KIA pressure: $285.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$285.0K
6h
−$287.8K
tracked
$807.4K

42 verified profitable wallets: Dplus KIA · $25.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -68.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dplus KIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between BNK FEARX and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
alexdave8882 linked markets · $72.1K gross
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $33.4K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $25.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX49m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX49m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Dplus KIA@ 69.0¢55m ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY BNK FEARX@ 32.0¢55m ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp
Latest book event: BNK FEARX UP 14.5pp · near-book depth $1.9K → $39.3K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BNK FEARX; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDplus KIA · $285.0K
6hDplus KIA · $287.8K
24hDplus KIA · $288.9K

BNK FEARX price VWAP

Volume-weighted BNK FEARX price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary BNK FEARX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.1¢▲ above by 42.8pp
VWAP 7d57.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

BNK FEARX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$226.3K
90¢
$4.9K
85¢
$6.8K
80¢
$4.0K
75¢
$40.8K
70¢
$9.6K
65¢
$12.8K
60¢
$10.9K
55¢
$14.9K
50¢
$10.7K
45¢
$36.3K
40¢
$11.8K
35¢
$56.1K
30¢
$295.8K
25¢
$65.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX$10.7K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—3 minutes ago
SELLBNK FEARX$50.0K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLBNK FEARX$23.8K@ 99.9¢
CCCYS0x0c9f…5f5a
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLBNK FEARX$33.7K@ 99.0¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$10.6K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$19.0K@ 98.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYDplus KIA$10.5K@ 70.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$12.4K@ 69.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$16.1K@ 70.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$19.0K@ 70.3¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$12.6K@ 70.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBNK FEARX$15.5K@ 31.0¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$21.0K@ 70.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$14.0K@ 69.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$34.2K@ 68.4¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$14.4K@ 68.0¢
TheMafiaa0xafd4…7e61
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBNK FEARX$16.5K@ 33.0¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$13.2K@ 67.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$19.5K@ 65.0¢
GoodGuy260x7ebf…afe2
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x7c37…6aebDplus KIA$176.9K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·14 fills
254321758BNK FEARX$37.2K
BUY VWAP 76.4¢·6 fills
GoodGuy26Dplus KIA$19.5K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
solo88888BNK FEARX$18.2K
BUY VWAP 33.1¢·2 fills
fkcvffcjtDplus KIA$16.0K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·3 fills
zb8Dplus KIA$15.7K
BUY VWAP 66.5¢·2 fills
alexdave888BNK FEARX$15.5K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·1 fill
zb8BNK FEARX$14.7K
BUY VWAP 54.6¢·7 fills
TheMafiaaDplus KIA$14.4K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
5e46hBNK FEARX$10.6K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.