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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $73.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $326.0KEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
28.5¢
BNK FEARX
71.5¢
Dplus KIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets85Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$133.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 31s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $19.7K net·4 wallets·$23.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$28.9K@ 75¢·TAIWANNUMBERONE

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW BNK FEARX SETUP
What the tape says

BNK FEARX pressure: $6.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.8K
6h
−$49.6K
tracked
$133.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: BNK FEARX · $19.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BNK FEARX or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against BNK FEARX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between BNK FEARX and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $33.4K gross
alexdave8882 linked markets · $22.1K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $13.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX3m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY BNK FEARX@ 25.0¢14m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 76.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: BNK FEARX DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $5 → $263 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BNK FEARX; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $6.8K
6hDplus KIA · $49.6K
24hDplus KIA · $53.3K

BNK FEARX price VWAP

Volume-weighted BNK FEARX price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary BNK FEARX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h25.1¢▲ above by 3.4pp
VWAP 7d25.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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BNK FEARX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$111.5K
20¢
$33.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDplus KIA$28.9K@ 75.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TAIWANNUMBERONEDplus KIA$28.9K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaBNK FEARX$21.4K
BUY VWAP 26.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.