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UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Axel SolaLiquidity: $210.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $424.0KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
Farés Ziam payout
100.0¢
Axel Sola payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:54 trades$149.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 86 min agoofficial metadata 64 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Axel Sola · $46.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$65.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAxel Sola$41.0K@ 41¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Axel Sola. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Farés Ziam" if Farés Ziam is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Farés Ziam" if Farés Ziam is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Axel Sola@ 42.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Farés Ziam@ 60.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Axel Sola@ 42.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Axel Sola UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $3.1K → $422 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Farés Ziam; negative values favor Axel Sola. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAxel Sola · $48.0K
6hAxel Sola · $71.8K
24hAxel Sola · $79.7K

Farés Ziam price VWAP

Volume-weighted Farés Ziam price. Axel Sola fills are converted to the complementary Farés Ziam probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h52.7¢▼ below by 52.7pp
VWAP 7d52.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Farés Ziam price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.5K
55¢
$136.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$16.1K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAxel Sola$41.0K@ 41.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFarés Ziam$17.3K@ 59.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAxel Sola$38.2K@ 41.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Axel Sola$41.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
Talvez10Axel Sola$38.2K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketFarés Ziam$17.3K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
matanovikAxel Sola$12.3K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.