PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-05?

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 29 minutesLiquidity: $143.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $349.2KEvent: Columbus Crew vs. Colorado Rapids SC
48.5¢
YES
51.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$154.0K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $115.5K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$128.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$23.5K@ 47¢·WTSA

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: $63.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$63.8K
6h
+$47.2K
tracked
$154.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: YES · $115.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Columbus Crew wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026 If Columbus Crew wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY YES@ 48.0¢17m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 47.0¢20m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 57.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY YES@ 44.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $63.8K
6hYES · $47.2K
24hYES · $111.3K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h44.9¢▲ above by 3.6pp
VWAP 7d44.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$77.7K
40¢
$82.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYES$23.5K@ 47.0¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYYES$23.5K@ 47.0¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYYES$11.0K@ 45.2¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYYES$18.5K@ 44.0¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYYES$14.4K@ 44.1¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYYES$12.3K@ 45.0¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYYES$18.9K@ 42.6¢
WTSA0x04d5…66d8
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea
49.5¢$995.1Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp
51.5¢$565.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
18.0¢$518.8Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets
100.0¢$460.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$398.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins
80.5¢$331.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WTSAYes$122.1K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·8 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rNo$16.6K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.