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Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehberg

Sports→Settlement: Facundo MenaLiquidity: $234.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $223.3KEvent: Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehberg
100.0¢
Facundo Mena payout
0.0¢
Max Hans Rehberg payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:31 trades$69.4K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 77 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Max Hans Rehberg · $10.0K net·4 wallets·$12.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFacundo Mena$10.0K@ 100¢·danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Facundo Mena. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Max Hans Rehberg in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Max Hans Rehberg. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Facundo Mena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Max Hans Rehberg DOWN 4.7pp · near-book depth $746 → $1.1K · 41s
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Facundo Mena; negative values favor Max Hans Rehberg. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMax Hans Rehberg · $35.3K
6hMax Hans Rehberg · $21.2K
24hMax Hans Rehberg · $22.6K

Facundo Mena price VWAP

Volume-weighted Facundo Mena price. Max Hans Rehberg fills are converted to the complementary Facundo Mena probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.3¢▲ above by 12.7pp
VWAP 7d87.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Facundo Mena price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$35.2K
90¢
$15.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$7.7K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$7.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.