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Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $52.6KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
12.5¢
AFC Bournemouth
87.5¢
Newcastle United FC
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$17.0K tracked33% 🐋source coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 175 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNewcastle United FC$17.0K@ 89¢·0x9e16…a795

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$6
tracked
$17.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 175 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor AFC Bournemouth; negative values favor Newcastle United FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAFC Bournemouth · $0
6hAFC Bournemouth · $6
24hNewcastle United FC · $17.0K

AFC Bournemouth price VWAP

Volume-weighted AFC Bournemouth price. Newcastle United FC fills are converted to the complementary AFC Bournemouth probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current12.5¢
VWAP 24h11.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d11.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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AFC Bournemouth price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$17.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNewcastle United FC$17.0K@ 88.9¢0x9e16…a795🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9e16…a795Newcastle United FC$17.0K
BUY VWAP 88.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.