PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

Sports→Settlement: Chicago CubsLiquidity: $326.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $318.1KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
0.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
100.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:60 trades$174.7K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $68.6K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$68.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$30.1K@ 97¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Chicago Cubs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 29 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 96.9¢1h ago
15m STALLED +2.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 89.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago Cubs@ 89.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 67.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $7.1K → $15.9K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $10.0K
6hChicago Cubs · $155.6K
24hChicago Cubs · $157.1K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.8¢▼ below by 20.8pp
VWAP 7d20.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.6K
30¢
$84.4K
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$8.3K
15¢
$1.3K
10¢
$23.2K
5¢
$7.0K
0¢
← now
$45.5K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$30.1K@ 97.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago Cubs$23.2K@ 89.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$18.7K@ 66.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$22.7K@ 66.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse
0.1¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves
34.0¢$478.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$416.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$394.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$320.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.3¢$277.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
51.5¢$251.9Kpriority86Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feChicago Cubs$30.1K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Chicago Cubs$29.8K
BUY VWAP 86.5¢·4 fills
ic4creamChicago Cubs$22.7K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafChicago Cubs$20.8K
BUY VWAP 65.9¢·2 fills
kingflopChicago Cubs$14.6K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.