Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Shopify Rebellion pressure: $126.7K net directional flow in 1h.
17 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $7.0K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 73% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: -44.9pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Shopify Rebellion or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Shopify Rebellion.
•This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 2 against Team Liquid.
This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Team Liquid price VWAP
Largest holders
Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.