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Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $205.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $121.0KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse
54.5¢
Arthur Fery
45.5¢
Ignacio Buse
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$58.3K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 15s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Fery$16.0K@ 55¢·Tantula

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Arthur Fery pressure: $18.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$18.7K
6h
+$42.6K
tracked
$58.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Arthur Fery · $15.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arthur Fery or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Ignacio Buse in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Fery@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Fery@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Fery; negative values favor Ignacio Buse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Fery · $18.7K
6hArthur Fery · $42.6K
24hArthur Fery · $42.6K

Arthur Fery price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Fery price. Ignacio Buse fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Fery probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h54.6¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d54.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arthur Fery price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20.1K
50¢
← now
$38.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArthur Fery$14.6K@ 54.7¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYArthur Fery$15.6K@ 54.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArthur Fery$16.0K@ 55.4¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TantulaArthur Fery$30.6K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Arthur Fery$15.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.