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Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $225.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $286Event: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays
49.5¢
Seattle Mariners
50.5¢
Toronto Blue Jays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly13Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$25.1K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$11.6K@ 47¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$100
6h
+$21.1K
tracked
$25.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Seattle Mariners · $5.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 19:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 29 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Toronto Blue Jays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hToronto Blue Jays · $100
6hSeattle Mariners · $21.1K
24hSeattle Mariners · $21.1K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Toronto Blue Jays fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h47.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d47.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.5K
45¢
← now
$23.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeattle Mariners$11.6K@ 47.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiSeattle Mariners$11.6K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.