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LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $570.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $343.6KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
99.9¢
Karmine Corp
1.9¢
SK Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly56Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$145.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karmine Corp · $34.6K net·11 wallets·$37.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$19.1K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

SK Gaming pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.4K
6h
+$79.3K
tracked
$145.0K

11 verified profitable wallets: Karmine Corp · $34.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from SK Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against SK Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
alexdinner2 linked markets · $53.5K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $28.2K gross
vtcchampion524 linked markets · $23.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: SK Gaming DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $16 → $412 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor SK Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSK Gaming · $2.4K
6hKarmine Corp · $79.3K
24hKarmine Corp · $79.3K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. SK Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h90.4¢▲ above by 9.5pp
VWAP 7d90.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$79.1K
90¢
$4.7K
85¢
$3.1K
80¢
$7.4K
75¢
$44.7K
70¢
$6.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKarmine Corp$19.1K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaKarmine Corp$19.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52Karmine Corp$18.3K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.