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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Sports→Settlement: Washington NationalsLiquidity: $356.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $437.8KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
0.0¢
Miami Marlins payout
100.0¢
Washington Nationals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:144 trades$183.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Nationals · $48.1K net·10 wallets(2🐋)·$55.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington Nationals$30.7K@ 49¢·xifutloong3

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Washington Nationals. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 29 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Miami Marlins1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 39.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Washington Nationals@ 87.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -42.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Washington Nationals3h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Washington Nationals UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $6.5K → $13 · 18s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $42.3K
6hMiami Marlins · $3.2K
24hMiami Marlins · $1.7K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h39.6¢▼ below by 39.6pp
VWAP 7d39.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2
55¢
$426
50¢
$89.8K
45¢
$21.7K
40¢
$34.4K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$204
25¢
$5
20¢
$11
15¢
$294
10¢
$14.5K
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$19.6K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami Marlins$28.8K@ 40.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$13.0K@ 87.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYWashington Nationals$30.7K@ 49.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$10.4K@ 51.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$10.0K@ 51.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Washington Nationals$36.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
AV23IUaMiami Marlins$28.8K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
KosherlocksMiami Marlins$19.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Washington Nationals$13.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill
johnny234Miami Marlins$10.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.