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Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $371.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.5KEvent: Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens
40.5¢
Diane Parry
59.5¢
Elise Mertens
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$98.2K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elise Mertens · $27.5K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$36.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElise Mertens$34.8K@ 60¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Elise Mertens SETUP
What the tape says

Elise Mertens pressure: $34.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$34.8K
6h
−$59.4K
tracked
$98.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Elise Mertens · $27.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 72

Since latest large flow: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elise Mertens or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diane Parry' if Diane Parry advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Diane Parry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elise Mertens@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diane Parry; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElise Mertens · $34.8K
6hElise Mertens · $59.4K
24hElise Mertens · $58.0K

Diane Parry price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diane Parry price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Diane Parry probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h38.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d38.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diane Parry price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$9.6K
35¢
$88.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElise Mertens$34.8K@ 60.1¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYElise Mertens$13.1K@ 63.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999Elise Mertens$34.8K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Elise Mertens$21.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·4 fills
alexdave888Diane Parry$10.2K
BUY VWAP 39.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.