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Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $303.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.3KEvent: Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade
42.5¢
Aidan Mayo
57.5¢
Andres Andrade
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$49.8K tracked15% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndres Andrade$16.5K@ 60¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Andres Andrade SETUP
What the tape says

Andres Andrade pressure: $10.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.9K
6h
−$29.0K
tracked
$49.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Andres Andrade · $24.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Andres Andrade or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Andres Andrade in the Kingston 2, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Aidan Mayo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Andres Andrade@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aidan Mayo; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndres Andrade · $10.9K
6hAndres Andrade · $29.0K
24hAndres Andrade · $29.0K

Aidan Mayo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aidan Mayo price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary Aidan Mayo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h40.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d40.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aidan Mayo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$36.4K
35¢
$13.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAndres Andrade$10.0K@ 60.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYAndres Andrade$16.5K@ 59.8¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Andres Andrade$24.0K
BUY VWAP 59.6¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Andres Andrade$10.0K
BUY VWAP 60.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.