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Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $57.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $331.9KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins
74.5¢
Chicago Cubs
25.5¢
Miami Marlins
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly43Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$115.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 13s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $12.5K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$39.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$17.4K@ 85¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$318
6h
+$44.4K
tracked
$115.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $12.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 5 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago Cubs2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago Cubs@ 85.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -17.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 82.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $55.2K → $115 · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $318
6hChicago Cubs · $44.4K
24hChicago Cubs · $39.8K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h69.4¢▲ above by 5.1pp
VWAP 7d69.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$12
85¢
$27.3K
80¢
$16.1K
75¢
$7.1K
70¢
← now
$514
65¢
$19.3K
60¢
$4.3K
55¢
$9.0K
50¢
$30.4K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$17.4K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$10.3K@ 47.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$12.9K@ 54.0¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Chicago Cubs$17.4K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill
0xe907…cff6Chicago Cubs$12.9K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
bigZagChicago Cubs$12.7K
BUY VWAP 70.3¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Miami Marlins$10.9K
BUY VWAP 21.6¢·3 fills
FeromontMiami Marlins$10.3K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.