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US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $410.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $730.1KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka
7.5¢
Pedro Martinez
92.5¢
Daniil Glinka
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 93%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$472.0K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 74%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 16s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniil Glinka · $171.2K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$172.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaniil Glinka$55.2K@ 73¢·11vsldfdsgfkjgos

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$828
6h
−$101.0K
tracked
$472.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Daniil Glinka · $171.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 93% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Martinez and Daniil Glinka in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Daniil Glinka. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Pedro Martinez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Daniil Glinka@ 92.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Daniil Glinka@ 86.0¢4m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Daniil Glinka52m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Daniil Glinka52m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Daniil Glinka UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $51.8K → $18.4K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pedro Martinez; negative values favor Daniil Glinka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniil Glinka · $828
6hDaniil Glinka · $101.0K
24hDaniil Glinka · $101.0K

Pedro Martinez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pedro Martinez price. Daniil Glinka fills are converted to the complementary Pedro Martinez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current7.5¢
VWAP 24h37.6¢▼ below by 30.1pp
VWAP 7d37.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pedro Martinez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$68.2K
50¢
$143.6K
45¢
$28.3K
40¢
$3
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$57.0K
25¢
$58.0K
20¢
$312
15¢
$0
10¢
$115.1K
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniil Glinka$21.3K@ 88.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—5 minutes ago
SELLDaniil Glinka$52.7K@ 87.4¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—5 minutes ago
SELLDaniil Glinka$31.5K@ 86.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—5 minutes ago
SELLDaniil Glinka$55.2K@ 73.5¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$17.6K@ 50.5¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$29.9K@ 65.6¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$25.6K@ 65.1¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$28.0K@ 48.9¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$18.8K@ 45.4¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$42.3K@ 42.8¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$27.9K@ 49.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$31.1K@ 48.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$33.2K@ 47.9¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPedro Martinez$10.0K@ 57.5¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe30e…6b87Daniil Glinka$162.1K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·6 fills
11vsldfdsgfkjgosDaniil Glinka$111.5K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·7 fills
0x0cdf…ec9ePedro Martinez$11.3K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.