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Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

Sports→Settlement: Ignacio BuseLiquidity: $518.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $397.1KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse
0.0¢
Adam Walton payout
100.0¢
Ignacio Buse payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:69 trades$239.0K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adam Walton · $58.0K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$145.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIgnacio Buse$73.7K@ 100¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ignacio Buse. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Ignacio Buse in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ignacio Buse@ 91.0¢58m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Ignacio Buse58m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Ignacio Buse@ 82.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Ignacio Buse2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Adam Walton DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $6.4K → $13 · 36s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adam Walton; negative values favor Ignacio Buse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdam Walton · $68.7K
6hAdam Walton · $51.9K
24hAdam Walton · $57.1K

Adam Walton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adam Walton price. Ignacio Buse fills are converted to the complementary Adam Walton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.9¢▼ below by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d22.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adam Walton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$29
60¢
$29.7K
55¢
$13.0K
50¢
$13.7K
45¢
$64
40¢
$0
35¢
$13.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$40.2K
20¢
$253
15¢
$32.7K
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
$2.1K
0¢
← now
$92.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIgnacio Buse$11.1K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLIgnacio Buse$73.7K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLIgnacio Buse$20.0K@ 81.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$18.7K@ 75.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$10.2K@ 41.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$16.0K@ 72.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekIgnacio Buse$33.3K
BUY VWAP 73.1¢·3 fills
hurricanIgnacio Buse$16.0K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
swisstonyAdam Walton$10.3K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Ignacio Buse$10.2K
BUY VWAP 41.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.