PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Sports→Settlement: Nicolai Budkov KjaerLiquidity: $582.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $120.0KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
0.0¢
Maks Kasnikowski payout
100.0¢
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:54 trades$34.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 212 min agoofficial metadata 181 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · $3.7K net·6 wallets·$7.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNicolai Budkov Kjaer$16.3K@ 86¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer@ 77.0¢5h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: Maks Kasnikowski DOWN 11.0pp · near-book depth $2 → $0 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maks Kasnikowski; negative values favor Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaks Kasnikowski · $1.4K
6hNicolai Budkov Kjaer · $11.7K
24hNicolai Budkov Kjaer · $11.7K

Maks Kasnikowski price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maks Kasnikowski price. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer fills are converted to the complementary Maks Kasnikowski probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.6¢▼ below by 25.6pp
VWAP 7d25.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Maks Kasnikowski price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$9.3K
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$105
10¢
$18.2K
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$311

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNicolai Budkov Kjaer$16.3K@ 86.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
47.5¢$467.8Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers
0.7¢$449.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$408.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez
0.4¢$360.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
52.5¢$333.8Kpriority75Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
22.5¢$288.5Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.1¢$282.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feNicolai Budkov Kjaer$16.3K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.