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Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $215.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $448.6KEvent: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
63.5¢
Houston Astros
36.5¢
New York Yankees
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets74Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$236.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Yankees · $6.0K net·4 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$173.6K@ 58¢·Winnerdinnerchickenjr

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW New York Yankees SETUP
What the tape says

New York Yankees pressure: $7.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.4K
6h
−$163.4K
tracked
$236.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: New York Yankees · $6.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 62

Since latest liquidity absorption: -11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New York Yankees or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 25 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY New York Yankees@ 48.0¢14m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Houston Astros@ 44.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Astros; negative values favor New York Yankees. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $7.4K
6hNew York Yankees · $163.4K
24hNew York Yankees · $166.9K

Houston Astros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Astros price. New York Yankees fills are converted to the complementary Houston Astros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current63.5¢
VWAP 24h42.1¢▲ above by 21.4pp
VWAP 7d42.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Astros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$0
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$30
45¢
$0
40¢
$228.7K
35¢
$5.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees$173.6K@ 58.0¢
Winnerdinnerchickenjr0x408f…b2f4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$30.2K@ 43.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WinnerdinnerchickenjrNew York Yankees$173.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
EztennisHouston Astros$30.2K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.