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US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connell

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $214.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.2KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connell
20.5¢
Stefanos Sakellaridis payout
79.5¢
Christopher OConnell payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:14 trades$67.6K tracked29% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Christopher OConnell · $34.6K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$34.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChristopher OConnell$13.7K@ 98¢·swisstony

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Sakellaridis and Christopher O'Connell in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Sakellaridis' if Stefanos Sakellaridis advances against Christopher O'Connell. This market will resolve to 'Christopher O'Connell' if Christopher O'Connell advances against Stefanos Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 41m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 41m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Stefanos Sakellaridis; negative values favor Christopher OConnell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChristopher OConnell · $35.5K
6hChristopher OConnell · $44.1K
24hChristopher OConnell · $44.1K

Stefanos Sakellaridis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Stefanos Sakellaridis price. Christopher OConnell fills are converted to the complementary Stefanos Sakellaridis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current20.5¢
VWAP 24h14.0¢▲ above by 6.5pp
VWAP 7d14.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Stefanos Sakellaridis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$20.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$2
10¢
$7.5K
5¢
$1.9K
0¢
$37.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChristopher OConnell$10.2K@ 99.8¢
mojeimeje0xc5dc…7cf2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChristopher OConnell$13.7K@ 97.7¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChristopher OConnell$13.7K@ 97.6¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChristopher OConnell$11.0K@ 62.9¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

swisstonyChristopher OConnell$27.4K
BUY VWAP 97.6¢·2 fills
0x0cdf…ec9eChristopher OConnell$11.0K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·1 fill
mojeimejeChristopher OConnell$10.2K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.