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Monterrey Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Anna Bondar

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $732.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $342.7KEvent: Monterrey Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Anna Bondar
100.0¢
Cristina Bucsa
0.1¢
Anna Bondar
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection44Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:75 trades$171.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cristina Bucsa · $72.4K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$72.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCristina Bucsa$48.5K@ 97¢·swisstony

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cristina Bucsa pressure: $75.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$75.5K
6h
+$37.3K
tracked
$171.6K

6 verified profitable wallets: Cristina Bucsa · $72.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -41.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cristina Bucsa or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Anna Bondar in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Anna Bondar. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Cristina Bucsa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Anna Bondar@ 42.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
Latest book event: Anna Bondar DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $9.2K → $33 · 82s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cristina Bucsa; negative values favor Anna Bondar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCristina Bucsa · $75.5K
6hCristina Bucsa · $37.3K
24hCristina Bucsa · $37.3K

Cristina Bucsa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cristina Bucsa price. Anna Bondar fills are converted to the complementary Cristina Bucsa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.9¢▲ above by 25.0pp
VWAP 7d74.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cristina Bucsa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$51.3K
90¢
$8.1K
85¢
$18.0K
80¢
$2.7K
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$13.8K
60¢
$15.6K
55¢
$42.4K
50¢
$7.0K
45¢
$7.0K
40¢
$1.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCristina Bucsa$48.5K@ 97.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYCristina Bucsa$13.8K@ 89.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYAnna Bondar$30.3K@ 44.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

swisstonyCristina Bucsa$57.7K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·9 fills
0x5f65…2036Anna Bondar$30.3K
BUY VWAP 44.1¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtCristina Bucsa$20.0K
BUY VWAP 89.3¢·2 fills
alaskabakedAnna Bondar$15.0K
BUY VWAP 36.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.