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Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

● quote just now
Geopolitics→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $156.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
38.0¢
Nuclear TigeRES
62.0¢
FORZE Reload
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:51 trades$28.1K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 37s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nuclear TigeRES · $12.4K net·2 wallets·$12.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNuclear TigeRES$6.9K@ 68¢·Painfulvoid

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$425
6h
+$23.7K
tracked
$28.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nuclear TigeRES · $12.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 15:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against FORZE Reload.

•This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win the match against Nuclear TigeRES.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Nuclear TigeRES and FORZE Reload in the Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against FORZE Reload. This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nuclear TigeRES DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $93 → $71 · 44s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuclear TigeRES; negative values favor FORZE Reload. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuclear TigeRES · $425
6hNuclear TigeRES · $23.7K
24hNuclear TigeRES · $23.7K

Nuclear TigeRES price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuclear TigeRES price. FORZE Reload fills are converted to the complementary Nuclear TigeRES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.0¢
VWAP 24h69.9¢▼ below by 31.9pp
VWAP 7d69.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuclear TigeRES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$5.6K
70¢
$12.5K
65¢
$7.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$43
50¢
$186
45¢
$200
40¢
$33
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cNuclear TigeRES$12.4K
BUY VWAP 74.1¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.