PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $878.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $753.1KEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢
Team Liquid
0.1¢
Shopify Rebellion
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:196 trades$136.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $15.8K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$42.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$12.4K@ 80¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Liquid pressure: $16.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.3K
6h
+$20.7K
tracked
$136.3K

12 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $15.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

•This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
bloodmaster4 linked markets · $141.0K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $54.0K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $26.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Liquid DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $195 → $308 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor Shopify Rebellion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $16.3K
6hTeam Liquid · $20.7K
24hTeam Liquid · $20.7K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. Shopify Rebellion fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.1¢▲ above by 18.8pp
VWAP 7d81.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$33.6K
90¢
$8.7K
85¢
$12.8K
80¢
$26.6K
75¢
$17.6K
70¢
$3.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$22.6K
55¢
$4.0K
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$435
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Liquid$12.4K@ 80.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
79.5¢$740.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$321.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
67.5¢$67.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves
30.5¢$518.6Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
44.5¢$495.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$415.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
0.1¢$389.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
27.5¢$358.3Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Team Liquid$15.5K
BUY VWAP 83.3¢·2 fills
0xf201…527eShopify Rebellion$13.1K
BUY VWAP 27.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.