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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $775.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $288.7KEvent: LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
0.1¢
Cloud9
100.0¢
LYON
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets54Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:105 trades$97.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 16s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LYON · $17.8K net·11 wallets·$33.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLYON$13.0K@ 66¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$386
6h
−$27.0K
tracked
$97.0K

11 verified profitable wallets: LYON · $17.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +25.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 25.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 04:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 2 against LYON.

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 2 against Cloud9.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 2 against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 2 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $42.5K gross
alexdinner2 linked markets · $19.0K gross
purplegatto2 linked markets · $10.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY LYON1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY LYON@ 75.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Cloud9 DOWN 15.5pp · near-book depth $19 → $193 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cloud9; negative values favor LYON. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLYON · $386
6hLYON · $27.0K
24hLYON · $27.0K

Cloud9 price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cloud9 price. LYON fills are converted to the complementary Cloud9 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.8¢▼ below by 21.8pp
VWAP 7d21.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cloud9 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$22.6K
30¢
$24.4K
25¢
$8.0K
20¢
$1.4K
15¢
$4.6K
10¢
$69
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$32.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLYON$13.0K@ 66.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eLYON$22.4K
BUY VWAP 67.1¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.