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US Open, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Muller

Sports→Settlement: Rei SakamotoLiquidity: $207.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $149.9KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Muller
100.0¢
Rei Sakamoto payout
0.0¢
Alexandre Muller payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLRei Sakamoto$23.2K@ 100¢·xabidaking

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rei Sakamoto. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Alexandre Muller in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rei Sakamoto@ 64.0¢25d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rei Sakamoto; negative values favor Alexandre Muller. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexandre Muller · $10.1K
6hRei Sakamoto · $18.6K
24hRei Sakamoto · $13.5K

Rei Sakamoto price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rei Sakamoto price. Alexandre Muller fills are converted to the complementary Rei Sakamoto probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.6¢▲ above by 20.4pp
VWAP 7d79.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rei Sakamoto price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$36.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$462
75¢
$0
70¢
$15
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$24.8K
55¢
$13.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRei Sakamoto$23.2K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—25 days ago
BUYRei Sakamoto$13.0K@ 97.7¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—25 days ago
BUYRei Sakamoto$13.8K@ 59.5¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—25 days ago
BUYRei Sakamoto$17.7K@ 63.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—25 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.