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Cardinals vs. Giants

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $466.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $109.5KEvent: Cardinals vs. Giants
56.5¢
Cardinals
43.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$42.8K tracked67% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 61 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cardinals · $5.1K net·2 wallets·$5.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGiants$30.0K@ 43¢·mooseborzoii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Giants pressure: $42.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$42.8K
6h
−$42.8K
tracked
$42.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Cardinals · $5.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 61 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Giants or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals".

•If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $55.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Giants@ 44.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cardinals; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiants · $42.8K
6hGiants · $42.8K
24hGiants · $42.8K

Cardinals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cardinals price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Cardinals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h57.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d56.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$57.1K
50¢
$9.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGiants$12.7K@ 43.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGiants$30.0K@ 43.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiiGiants$42.8K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.