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Spread: Lions (-3.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: PanthersLiquidity: $349.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $365.7KEvent: Lions vs. Panthers
0.0¢
Lions payout
100.0¢
Panthers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Panthers · $3.4K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$64.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPanthers$33.8K@ 47¢·Elaran1993

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Panthers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Panthers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05635 linked markets · $383.6K gross
mooseborzoii4 linked markets · $333.2K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $261.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 53.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Panthers@ 50.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +12.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Panthers@ 49.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED -3.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Panthers@ 50.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lions; negative values favor Panthers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLions · $280
6hPanthers · $29.2K
24hPanthers · $22.1K

Lions price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lions price. Panthers fills are converted to the complementary Lions probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▼ below by 51.0pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lions price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$315
50¢
$199.0K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$946
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.8K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPanthers$33.8K@ 47.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—3 days ago
BUYLions$25.5K@ 52.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPanthers$16.0K@ 49.0¢
TKD440x68df…4815
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPanthers$13.0K@ 49.0¢
Herdonia0xd106…c79c
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPanthers$13.5K@ 49.0¢
Herdonia0xd106…c79c
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPanthers$24.0K@ 49.0¢
TKD440x68df…4815
🐋—7 days ago
BUYLions$15.3K@ 51.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TKD44Panthers$40.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
Elaran1993Panthers$33.8K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
HerdoniaPanthers$26.5K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
maz26Lions$25.5K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.