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US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $298.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $557.5KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov
0.1¢
Timofey Skatov
100.0¢
Grigor Dimitrov
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:94 trades$275.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timofey Skatov · $97.8K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$174.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGrigor Dimitrov$121.6K@ 100¢·tennischamp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Timofey Skatov pressure: $105.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$105.5K
6h
+$45.9K
tracked
$275.5K

8 verified profitable wallets: Timofey Skatov · $97.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Timofey Skatov or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Grigor Dimitrov in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Grigor Dimitrov. This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Timofey Skatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Grigor Dimitrov@ 89.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Grigor Dimitrov@ 86.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
Latest book event: Grigor Dimitrov UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $42.4K → $5.8K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timofey Skatov; negative values favor Grigor Dimitrov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTimofey Skatov · $105.5K
6hTimofey Skatov · $45.9K
24hTimofey Skatov · $45.9K

Timofey Skatov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timofey Skatov price. Grigor Dimitrov fills are converted to the complementary Timofey Skatov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h7.2¢▼ below by 7.2pp
VWAP 7d7.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timofey Skatov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$9.4K
15¢
$31.3K
10¢
$82.7K
5¢
$82
0¢
← now
$148.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGrigor Dimitrov$121.6K@ 99.9¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYGrigor Dimitrov$16.2K@ 90.0¢
hamlo0x7414…72a3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGrigor Dimitrov$23.0K@ 87.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTimofey Skatov$10.0K@ 18.8¢
kilian7kilian0x14c7…9ccf
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTimofey Skatov$13.9K@ 14.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYGrigor Dimitrov$16.7K@ 86.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feGrigor Dimitrov$23.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill
tennischampGrigor Dimitrov$16.7K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill
hamloGrigor Dimitrov$16.2K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardGrigor Dimitrov$14.6K
BUY VWAP 94.9¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Timofey Skatov$13.9K
BUY VWAP 14.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpGrigor Dimitrov$11.2K
BUY VWAP 95.5¢·5 fills
kilian7kilianTimofey Skatov$10.0K
BUY VWAP 18.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.