PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Northwestern State vs. Louisiana Tech

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 29 minutesLiquidity: $39.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $10.3KEvent: Northwestern State vs. Louisiana Tech
0.5¢
Northwestern State
99.5¢
Louisiana Tech
0.8¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution83Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$20.1K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 193 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLouisiana Tech$20.1K@ 100¢·033033033

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$20.1K
tracked
$20.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Louisiana Tech · $20.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.8¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 193 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Northwestern State wins, the market will resolve to "Northwestern State".

•If Louisiana Tech wins, the market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30PM ET: If Northwestern State wins, the market will resolve to "Northwestern State". If Louisiana Tech wins, the market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Northwestern State; negative values favor Louisiana Tech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNorthwestern State · $0
6hLouisiana Tech · $20.1K
24hLouisiana Tech · $20.1K

Northwestern State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Northwestern State price. Louisiana Tech fills are converted to the complementary Northwestern State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h0.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d0.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Northwestern State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$20.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLouisiana Tech$20.1K@ 99.8¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea
49.5¢$995.1Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp
51.5¢$565.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
18.0¢$518.8Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets
100.0¢$460.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$398.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-05?
47.5¢$349.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

033033033Louisiana Tech$20.1K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.