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Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 10 minutesLiquidity: $35.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $209.2KEvent: Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State
3.1¢
Mississippi Valley State
96.9¢
Sacramento State
2.8¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:3 trades$53.1K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 98 min agoofficial metadata 40s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSacramento State$51.5K@ 99¢·Painfulvoid

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$49.9K
tracked
$53.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.8¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Since latest position change: -0.6pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 98 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Mississippi Valley State wins, the market will resolve to "Mississippi Valley State".

•If Sacramento State wins, the market will resolve to "Sacramento State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If Mississippi Valley State wins, the market will resolve to "Mississippi Valley State". If Sacramento State wins, the market will resolve to "Sacramento State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Sacramento State@ 98.9¢2h ago
15m STALLED -0.3pp1h STALLED -0.1pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mississippi Valley State; negative values favor Sacramento State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMississippi Valley State · $0
6hSacramento State · $49.9K
24hSacramento State · $49.9K

Mississippi Valley State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mississippi Valley State price. Sacramento State fills are converted to the complementary Mississippi Valley State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.1¢
VWAP 24h1.1¢▲ above by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d1.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mississippi Valley State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$53.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSacramento State$51.5K@ 98.9¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PainfulvoidSacramento State$51.5K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.