PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $55.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $163.1KEvent: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame
14.5¢
Wisconsin
85.5¢
Notre Dame
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection60Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$33.2K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNotre Dame$5.0K@ 92¢·1winstreak1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Notre Dame SETUP
What the tape says

Notre Dame pressure: $19.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.9K
6h
−$22.4K
tracked
$33.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Wisconsin · $1.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Notre Dame or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin".

•If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wisconsin; negative values favor Notre Dame. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNotre Dame · $19.9K
6hNotre Dame · $22.4K
24hNotre Dame · $24.9K

Wisconsin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wisconsin price. Notre Dame fills are converted to the complementary Wisconsin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current14.5¢
VWAP 24h8.2¢▲ above by 6.3pp
VWAP 7d8.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Wisconsin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$2.3K
5¢
$30.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
87.5¢$1.3Mpriority77Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea
94.1¢$461.0Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$395.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
4.5¢$330.9Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

1winstreak1Notre Dame$20.0K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.