PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $17.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $138.4KEvent: Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies
0.1¢
Baltimore Orioles
100.0¢
Colorado Rockies
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$57.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 250 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Colorado Rockies · $1.3K net·3 wallets·$1.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$13.1K@ 60¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$32.3K
tracked
$57.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Colorado Rockies · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -58.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 250 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 1 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 59.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.0pp
Latest book event: Colorado Rockies UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $14.8K → $126 · 47s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Baltimore Orioles; negative values favor Colorado Rockies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $0
6hBaltimore Orioles · $32.3K
24hBaltimore Orioles · $49.3K

Baltimore Orioles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Baltimore Orioles price. Colorado Rockies fills are converted to the complementary Baltimore Orioles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h58.5¢▼ below by 58.4pp
VWAP 7d58.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Baltimore Orioles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$23.8K
55¢
$32.6K
50¢
$2
45¢
$164
40¢
$1.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$12.7K@ 57.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$13.1K@ 60.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$11.1K@ 58.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea
0.1¢$650.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego
87.5¢$615.4Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$345.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
8.5¢$316.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
100.0¢$306.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafBaltimore Orioles$47.4K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.