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Augsburg: Daniel Masur vs Facundo Mena

Sports→Settlement: Facundo MenaLiquidity: $158.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $231.3KEvent: Augsburg: Daniel Masur vs Facundo Mena
0.0¢
Daniel Masur payout
100.0¢
Facundo Mena payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFacundo Mena$23.7K@ 100¢·xabidaking

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Facundo Mena. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-03 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Masur and Facundo Mena in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Daniel Masur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Masur; negative values favor Facundo Mena. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Masur · $383
6hFacundo Mena · $31.1K
24hFacundo Mena · $31.1K

Daniel Masur price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Masur price. Facundo Mena fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Masur probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h19.1¢▼ below by 19.1pp
VWAP 7d19.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniel Masur price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$6.4K
40¢
$36.1K
35¢
$4.3K
30¢
$3
25¢
$0
20¢
$1
15¢
$9.7K
10¢
$5.0K
5¢
$7
0¢
← now
$56.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFacundo Mena$23.7K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—24 days ago
BUYFacundo Mena$12.3K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—24 days ago
BUYFacundo Mena$11.2K@ 96.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—24 days ago
BUYFacundo Mena$10.0K@ 56.5¢
Jeffplatter0xb399…608e
🐋—24 days ago
BUYFacundo Mena$13.6K@ 57.4¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—24 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.