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Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $31.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $478.7KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
92.5¢
Atlanta Braves
7.5¢
Washington Nationals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:105 trades$207.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Braves · $10.7K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$101.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington Nationals$41.1K@ 39¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Atlanta Braves pressure: $5.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.3K
6h
+$30.7K
tracked
$207.8K

9 verified profitable wallets: Atlanta Braves · $10.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 43

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Braves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 17:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 2 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $44.2K gross
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $34.6K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $16.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Atlanta Braves13m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Washington Nationals28m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 67.0¢31m ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Washington Nationals@ 34.0¢31m ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp
Latest book event: Atlanta Braves UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $16.0K → $83 · 39s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Braves · $5.3K
6hAtlanta Braves · $30.7K
24hAtlanta Braves · $74.8K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h59.7¢▲ above by 32.8pp
VWAP 7d59.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$48
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$22.0K
60¢
$76.7K
55¢
$105.4K
50¢
$3.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWashington Nationals$41.1K@ 39.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$29.2K@ 61.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$11.5K@ 56.0¢0xf52b…905b🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$19.9K@ 59.0¢
N340xfd67…ef90
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$17.5K@ 59.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Washington Nationals$41.1K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
Supremeleader75Atlanta Braves$30.7K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Atlanta Braves$27.4K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
N34Atlanta Braves$19.9K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
0xf52b…905bAtlanta Braves$11.5K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.