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US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $244.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $700.3KEvent: US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz
85.5¢
Ben Shelton
14.5¢
Hubert Hurkacz
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:181 trades$318.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ben Shelton · $94.4K net·15 wallets(2🐋)·$132.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBen Shelton$62.3K@ 88¢·0b1fe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ben Shelton SETUP
What the tape says

Ben Shelton pressure: $103.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$103.7K
6h
+$175.1K
tracked
$318.4K

15 verified profitable wallets: Ben Shelton · $94.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 67

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ben Shelton or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Hubert Hurkacz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ben Shelton@ 87.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Ben Shelton3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Ben Shelton@ 72.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Ben Shelton@ 70.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Ben Shelton UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $28.9K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ben Shelton; negative values favor Hubert Hurkacz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $103.7K
6hBen Shelton · $175.1K
24hBen Shelton · $195.5K

Ben Shelton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ben Shelton price. Hubert Hurkacz fills are converted to the complementary Ben Shelton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current85.5¢
VWAP 24h76.0¢▲ above by 9.5pp
VWAP 7d76.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ben Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
← now
$107.6K
80¢
$19.4K
75¢
$5.3K
70¢
$83.7K
65¢
$83.6K
60¢
$17.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBen Shelton$62.3K@ 88.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBen Shelton$22.9K@ 89.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$10.0K@ 32.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBen Shelton$14.0K@ 66.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBen Shelton$18.0K@ 72.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBen Shelton$26.0K@ 70.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feBen Shelton$62.3K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiBen Shelton$43.9K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·17 fills
AV23IUaBen Shelton$30.7K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooBen Shelton$18.0K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpBen Shelton$14.5K
BUY VWAP 69.5¢·10 fills
ferrariChampions2026Ben Shelton$14.0K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Hubert Hurkacz$10.0K
BUY VWAP 32.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.