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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $19.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $475.2KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
98.7¢
Seattle Mariners
1.3¢
Boston Red Sox
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution83Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:75 trades$201.8K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $5.0K net·5 wallets·$8.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox$32.1K@ 58¢·Supremeleader75

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Seattle Mariners pressure: $35.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$35.2K
6h
−$117.6K
tracked
$201.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $5.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -34.6pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Seattle Mariners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 2 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $11.5K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $8.8K gross
BlessedSunshine8882 linked markets · $761 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Boston Red Sox@ 36.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp1h INVALIDATED -34.0pp
Latest book event: Seattle Mariners UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $8.1K → $1.1K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Mariners · $35.2K
6hBoston Red Sox · $117.6K
24hBoston Red Sox · $122.2K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.7¢
VWAP 24h57.8¢▲ above by 40.9pp
VWAP 7d57.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$34
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$23.3K
70¢
$10
65¢
$43.0K
60¢
$35
55¢
$263
50¢
$38.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$76.1K
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeattle Mariners$21.0K@ 76.9¢
unbeatable10xac02…8570
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$19.1K@ 35.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$19.0K@ 35.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$14.9K@ 46.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$18.8K@ 46.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$26.3K@ 57.5¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$32.1K@ 58.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Supremeleader75Boston Red Sox$139.7K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·8 fills
unbeatable1Seattle Mariners$21.0K
BUY VWAP 76.9¢·1 fill
0x6051…3fcdSeattle Mariners$14.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.