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Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $22.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $439.8KEvent: Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies
83.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
16.5¢
Colorado Rockies
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:103 trades$218.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 56s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Baltimore Orioles · $72.5K net·8 wallets(3🐋)·$108.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$29.4K@ 62¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Baltimore Orioles pressure: $10.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.7K
6h
+$161.1K
tracked
$218.2K

8 verified profitable wallets: Baltimore Orioles · $72.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: +17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 17.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Baltimore Orioles or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 2 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $107.9K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $65.3K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $58.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Baltimore Orioles2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 67.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Baltimore Orioles2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Baltimore Orioles2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Colorado Rockies UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $10 → $4.1K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Baltimore Orioles; negative values favor Colorado Rockies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $10.7K
6hBaltimore Orioles · $161.1K
24hBaltimore Orioles · $156.8K

Baltimore Orioles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Baltimore Orioles price. Colorado Rockies fills are converted to the complementary Baltimore Orioles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current83.5¢
VWAP 24h65.1¢▲ above by 18.4pp
VWAP 7d65.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Baltimore Orioles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$19.3K
75¢
$7.0K
70¢
$23.1K
65¢
$4.9K
60¢
$158.9K
55¢
$4.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$15.0K@ 83.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$29.4K@ 62.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$13.6K@ 61.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$27.1K@ 61.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$16.0K@ 61.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafBaltimore Orioles$52.0K
BUY VWAP 60.9¢·5 fills
xifutloong3Baltimore Orioles$40.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·3 fills
fkcvffcjtBaltimore Orioles$24.6K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Baltimore Orioles$16.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardColorado Rockies$11.2K
BUY VWAP 25.3¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.