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New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $15.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $496.9KEvent: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
66.5¢
New York Mets
33.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets78Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution75Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:123 trades$230.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Mets · $24.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$31.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$63.0K@ 63¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Tampa Bay Rays SETUP
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $18.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.4K
6h
−$18.6K
tracked
$230.0K

7 verified profitable wallets: New York Mets · $24.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 61

Since latest market sweep: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 2 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1winstreak12 linked markets · $2.4K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $207 gross
0xe401…7b882 linked markets · $37 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 37.0¢5m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY New York Mets1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -32.0pp1h INVALIDATED -50.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 38.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +27.0pp1h CONFIRMED +48.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $222 → $363 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Mets; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $18.4K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $18.6K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $25.8K

New York Mets price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Mets price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary New York Mets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h44.9¢▲ above by 21.6pp
VWAP 7d44.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Mets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$129
85¢
$7.4K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$295
65¢
← now
$31.6K
60¢
$13.7K
55¢
$3
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$166.1K
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$11.7K@ 35.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$63.0K@ 63.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNew York Mets$10.0K@ 38.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$17.0K@ 38.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$60.0K@ 38.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafTampa Bay Rays$74.7K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
0x5e94…5ba1New York Mets$60.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaNew York Mets$27.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
ROI-ValueTampa Bay Rays$16.7K
BUY VWAP 35.4¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.