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US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $194.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $710.2KEvent: US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
15.5¢
Lloyd Harris
84.5¢
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:438 trades$252.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lloyd Harris · $1.9K net·15 wallets(2🐋)·$90.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$18.8K@ 88¢·0b1fe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Stefanos Tsitsipas pressure: $43.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$43.3K
6h
−$23.9K
tracked
$252.7K

15 verified profitable wallets: Lloyd Harris · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 48

Since latest market sweep: -44.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Stefanos Tsitsipas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Lloyd Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Lloyd Harris@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp
Latest book event: Stefanos Tsitsipas DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $14.6K → $84.0K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lloyd Harris; negative values favor Stefanos Tsitsipas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStefanos Tsitsipas · $43.3K
6hStefanos Tsitsipas · $23.9K
24hStefanos Tsitsipas · $20.7K

Lloyd Harris price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lloyd Harris price. Stefanos Tsitsipas fills are converted to the complementary Lloyd Harris probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.5¢
VWAP 24h34.4¢▼ below by 18.9pp
VWAP 7d34.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lloyd Harris price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$14.8K
55¢
$26.1K
50¢
$4.5K
45¢
$34.2K
40¢
$5.7K
35¢
$17.6K
30¢
$59.1K
25¢
$32.3K
20¢
$15.9K
15¢
← now
$4.3K
10¢
$38.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$18.8K@ 88.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$16.8K@ 88.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$14.1K@ 74.1¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLloyd Harris$12.7K@ 31.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feStefanos Tsitsipas$35.6K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiStefanos Tsitsipas$27.9K
BUY VWAP 72.9¢·19 fills
quavooLloyd Harris$12.7K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cLloyd Harris$12.3K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.