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Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $160.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
50.5¢
MOUZ payout
49.5¢
Inner Circle Esports payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:10 trades$36.9K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 14s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInner Circle Esports$15.0K@ 52¢·0xf559…f462

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Inner Circle Esports in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and MOUZ in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Inner Circle Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 0m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 0m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
backback2 linked markets · $19.8K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $14.1K gross
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $4.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Inner Circle Esports@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -35.0pp
Latest book event: Inner Circle Esports DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $0 → $0 · 42s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor Inner Circle Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInner Circle Esports · $4.4K
6hInner Circle Esports · $24.7K
24hInner Circle Esports · $24.7K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. Inner Circle Esports fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h55.2¢▼ below by 4.7pp
VWAP 7d55.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$4.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$50
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$17.4K
45¢
$15.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInner Circle Esports$15.0K@ 52.5¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Inner Circle Esports$20.0K
BUY VWAP 51.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.