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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.7MOfficial 24h Vol: $583.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
100.0¢
Legacy
0.1¢
Team Falcons
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection39Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 92%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:194 trades$405.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 70%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Falcons · $39.6K net·19 wallets(1🐋)·$122.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLegacy$64.9K@ 100¢·alexdave888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Falcons pressure: $156.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$156.4K
6h
−$187.6K
tracked
$405.9K

19 verified profitable wallets: Team Falcons · $39.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 92% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: -59.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
omomom33 linked markets · $163.8K gross
alexdave8883 linked markets · $143.9K gross
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $132.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Team Falcons@ 60.0¢49m ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons49m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 52.0¢52m ago
15m CONFIRMED +30.0pp
Latest book event: Team Falcons DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.7K → $50 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $156.4K
6hTeam Falcons · $187.6K
24hTeam Falcons · $187.6K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.8¢▲ above by 36.1pp
VWAP 7d63.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$149.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$15.3K
75¢
$6.7K
70¢
$16.5K
65¢
$12.9K
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$22.6K
40¢
$3.0K
35¢
$80.4K
30¢
$67.6K
25¢
$10.5K
20¢
$14.2K
15¢
$5.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLegacy$64.9K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—8 minutes ago
SELLLegacy$17.0K@ 99.9¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—8 minutes ago
SELLLegacy$24.3K@ 99.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—10 minutes ago
BUYTeam Falcons$10.0K@ 65.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons$10.0K@ 65.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons$10.0K@ 66.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy$11.0K@ 35.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons$12.3K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

omomom3Team Falcons$44.8K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·10 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fTeam Falcons$24.2K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·11 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLegacy$19.2K
BUY VWAP 48.8¢·10 fills
0x1610…ae49Team Falcons$18.6K
BUY VWAP 61.6¢·4 fills
CORGI8Legacy$11.0K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.