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US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $19.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.4KEvent: US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko
53.5¢
Tatjana Maria
46.5¢
Jelena Ostapenko
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution76Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$22.8K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tatjana Maria · $3.3K net·5 wallets·$3.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTatjana Maria$9.6K@ 38¢·alexdave888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$8
6h
+$9.2K
tracked
$22.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Tatjana Maria · $3.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Jelena Ostapenko in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tatjana Maria UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $2.3K · 53s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tatjana Maria; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJelena Ostapenko · $8
6hTatjana Maria · $9.2K
24hTatjana Maria · $3.0K

Tatjana Maria price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tatjana Maria price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Tatjana Maria probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▲ above by 12.7pp
VWAP 7d40.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tatjana Maria price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$26
45¢
$40
40¢
$15.0K
35¢
$14.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$3
15¢
$55
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.