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US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $103.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $369.9KEvent: US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch
99.7¢
Taylor Fritz
0.3¢
Darwin Blanch
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$43.8K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taylor Fritz · $20.3K net·2 wallets·$20.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTaylor Fritz$10.0K@ 97¢·Cuco84

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Taylor Fritz pressure: $9.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.8K
6h
+$40.9K
tracked
$43.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Taylor Fritz · $20.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Taylor Fritz or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Darwin Blanch in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Fritz; negative values favor Darwin Blanch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaylor Fritz · $9.8K
6hTaylor Fritz · $40.9K
24hTaylor Fritz · $40.9K

Taylor Fritz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Fritz price. Darwin Blanch fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Fritz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.7¢
VWAP 24h95.8¢▲ above by 3.9pp
VWAP 7d96.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Taylor Fritz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$43.8K
90¢
$10.0K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTaylor Fritz$10.0K@ 97.0¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardTaylor Fritz$19.5K
BUY VWAP 95.9¢·5 fills
Cuco84Taylor Fritz$10.0K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.