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US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs J.J. Wolf

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $78.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.6KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs J.J. Wolf
70.5¢
Alexander Bublik
29.5¢
J.J. Wolf
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly58Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$85.5K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Bublik · $24.7K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$24.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Bublik$35.0K@ 70¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

J.J. Wolf pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.4K
6h
+$58.9K
tracked
$85.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Bublik · $24.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from J.J. Wolf or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and J.J. Wolf in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against J.J. Wolf. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Bublik@ 70.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Bublik@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Bublik; negative values favor J.J. Wolf. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJ.J. Wolf · $1.4K
6hAlexander Bublik · $58.9K
24hAlexander Bublik · $60.9K

Alexander Bublik price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Bublik price. J.J. Wolf fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Bublik probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current70.5¢
VWAP 24h68.5¢▲ above by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d68.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Bublik price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$88
65¢
$85.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Bublik$35.0K@ 70.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Bublik$10.2K@ 68.0¢
kahe0x88d1…18da
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Bublik$24.7K@ 67.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999Alexander Bublik$35.0K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Alexander Bublik$24.7K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
kaheAlexander Bublik$10.2K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.