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US Open WTA: Harriet Dart vs Peyton Stearns

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $80.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $4.9KEvent: US Open WTA: Harriet Dart vs Peyton Stearns
66.5¢
Harriet Dart
33.5¢
Peyton Stearns
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$22.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Peyton Stearns · $17.8K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$17.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPeyton Stearns$17.9K@ 70¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$268
6h
−$19.5K
tracked
$22.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Peyton Stearns · $17.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Peyton Stearns in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Peyton Stearns. This market will resolve to 'Peyton Stearns' if Peyton Stearns advances against Harriet Dart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Harriet Dart UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $46.4K → $10.0K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Harriet Dart; negative values favor Peyton Stearns. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPeyton Stearns · $268
6hPeyton Stearns · $19.5K
24hPeyton Stearns · $19.5K

Harriet Dart price VWAP

Volume-weighted Harriet Dart price. Peyton Stearns fills are converted to the complementary Harriet Dart probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h28.8¢▲ above by 37.7pp
VWAP 7d28.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Harriet Dart price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$18.1K
25¢
$133
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$4
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPeyton Stearns$17.9K@ 70.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Peyton Stearns$17.9K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.