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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote 41s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $438.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $434.3KEvent: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies
99.9¢
St. Louis Cardinals
1.0¢
Colorado Rockies
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets30Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:117 trades$158.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 48s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:St. Louis Cardinals · $8.3K net·8 wallets·$27.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColorado Rockies$40.0K@ 42¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

St. Louis Cardinals pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.3K
6h
−$59.7K
tracked
$158.8K

8 verified profitable wallets: St. Louis Cardinals · $8.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +60.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 60.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from St. Louis Cardinals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 4 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $106.5K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $179 gross
0xda6f…1e462 linked markets · $86 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Colorado Rockies@ 40.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Colorado Rockies@ 40.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Colorado Rockies2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Colorado Rockies@ 34.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp
Latest book event: St. Louis Cardinals UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $18.8K → $16 · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor St. Louis Cardinals; negative values favor Colorado Rockies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSt. Louis Cardinals · $1.3K
6hColorado Rockies · $59.7K
24hColorado Rockies · $59.7K

St. Louis Cardinals price VWAP

Volume-weighted St. Louis Cardinals price. Colorado Rockies fills are converted to the complementary St. Louis Cardinals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h57.2¢▲ above by 42.7pp
VWAP 7d57.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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St. Louis Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$708
90¢
$6
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$5.5K
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$1.7K
65¢
$7.1K
60¢
$34.8K
55¢
$58.1K
50¢
$27.1K
45¢
$9.7K
40¢
$1
35¢
$139
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$2.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$3
10¢
$612
5¢
$4.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYColorado Rockies$40.0K@ 42.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYColorado Rockies$23.7K@ 47.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafColorado Rockies$81.7K
BUY VWAP 43.4¢·9 fills
1winstreak1St. Louis Cardinals$10.2K
BUY VWAP 64.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.