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US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $961.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $598.5KEvent: US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya
0.1¢
Elina Svitolina
100.0¢
Anna Kalinskaya
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:199 trades$209.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 13s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elina Svitolina · $21.9K net·12 wallets·$35.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnna Kalinskaya$20.0K@ 40¢·0x78be…bde0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Elina Svitolina pressure: $50.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$50.2K
6h
+$28.6K
tracked
$209.9K

12 verified profitable wallets: Elina Svitolina · $21.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +53.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 53.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elina Svitolina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Anna Kalinskaya in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Anna Kalinskaya. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Anna Kalinskaya2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Anna Kalinskaya@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Elina Svitolina2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Elina Svitolina@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp
Latest book event: Elina Svitolina DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $465 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elina Svitolina; negative values favor Anna Kalinskaya. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElina Svitolina · $50.2K
6hElina Svitolina · $28.6K
24hElina Svitolina · $28.6K

Elina Svitolina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elina Svitolina price. Anna Kalinskaya fills are converted to the complementary Elina Svitolina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h48.9¢▼ below by 48.8pp
VWAP 7d48.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elina Svitolina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$11.5K
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$27.9K
65¢
$40.8K
60¢
$34.4K
55¢
$14.8K
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$9.3K
40¢
$10.2K
35¢
$4.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.0K
15¢
$12.5K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$33.6K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElina Svitolina$10.9K@ 65.4¢0xe907…cff6🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$20.0K@ 40.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$10.0K@ 42.1¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElina Svitolina$18.0K@ 67.0¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$16.5K@ 28.0¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Anna Kalinskaya$22.5K
BUY VWAP 38.9¢·2 fills
0xwiseAnna Kalinskaya$19.0K
BUY VWAP 28.1¢·3 fills
ssj3Elina Svitolina$18.0K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
0xe907…cff6Elina Svitolina$12.1K
BUY VWAP 64.7¢·4 fills
soukaevAnna Kalinskaya$10.0K
BUY VWAP 42.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.