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Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $32.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $148.5KEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
26.5¢
Dplus KIA
73.5¢
BNK FEARX
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$53.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $12.1K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$12.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX$10.0K@ 41¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW BNK FEARX SETUP
What the tape says

BNK FEARX pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.4K
6h
−$22.2K
tracked
$53.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: BNK FEARX · $12.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 56

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BNK FEARX or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA wins 2 or more games than BNK FEARX in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BNK FEARX".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between BNK FEARX and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA wins 2 or more games than BNK FEARX in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BNK FEARX". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
alexdave8882 linked markets · $72.1K gross
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $33.4K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $25.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: BNK FEARX DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $578 → $23.9K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dplus KIA; negative values favor BNK FEARX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $1.4K
6hBNK FEARX · $22.2K
24hBNK FEARX · $10.3K

Dplus KIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dplus KIA price. BNK FEARX fills are converted to the complementary Dplus KIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h57.4¢▼ below by 30.9pp
VWAP 7d57.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dplus KIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$8.1K
55¢
$50.8K
50¢
$50
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$1.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBNK FEARX$10.0K@ 41.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaBNK FEARX$12.0K
BUY VWAP 41.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.